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The United States has denied an export license for advanced missiles to Norway. This information comes from the Norwegian resource Teknisk Ukeblad, and it has been echoed by several European media outlets. The denial specifically concerns modern GMLRS-ER artillery missiles, though the reasons behind Washington’s decision remain under wraps. In addition to the GMLRS-ER, Norway has also been blocked from acquiring another critical artillery system, the long-range Precision Strike Missile [PrSM].
Considering the complex geopolitics, the U.S. might be uneasy about Norway possessing such advanced missile systems, especially given its close proximity to Russia. Norway’s strategic location and NATO membership could mean that deploying these weapons might escalate regional tensions, possibly provoking a strong reaction from Russia. The U.S. is understandably concerned about altering the military equilibrium in this delicate area.
Further substantiating this point, the evolving dynamics of the Russia-Germany-USA relationship can be highlighted. Washington announced mid-year that by 2026, it plans to station missiles with a comparable range in Germany, underscoring the strategic calculations at play.
Moreover, the US has been focusing on rapidly expanding and safeguarding its missile stockpile in light of global events like Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This heightened focus on domestic needs and the inherent challenges in increasing production capacity are further reasons behind the hesitation to export these systems, even to trustworthy allies such as Norway.
Given these factors, the United States seems to be navigating a careful strategy, balancing its alliance commitments with broader strategic and security goals.
It’s worth noting that the US decision not to sell these advanced missiles to Norway would be less surprising if Poland hadn’t received the go-ahead for GMLRS-ER contributions in February 2023.
One major factor could be Poland’s geographic proximity to the conflict in Ukraine, escalating its need for advanced military capabilities to fend off potential threats. Being a frontline NATO member, Poland’s strategic significance has likely made the U.S. more eager to quickly enhance its defense capabilities. This includes the sale of sophisticated missile systems like the GMLRS-ER, fitting into the larger U.S. strategy of fortifying NATO’s eastern front in reaction to Russian activities in the region.
Furthermore, Poland’s acquisition might be part of an extensive modernization drive backed by the U.S., showcasing a deepening trust in Poland’s capability to manage advanced systems responsibly in a volatile security setting. In contrast, the decision to deny Norway these systems may be influenced by concerns over technology transfer, differing security evaluations, or other strategic considerations that have not been disclosed.
BULGARIAN MILITARY