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Washington tempts New Delhi with F-35 deal offer

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Washington tempts New Delhi with F-35 deal offer

 

British F-35 fighter jet
Photo credit: Royal Navy

 

“Starting this year, we will increase military sales to India by many billions of dollars. We are also paving the way for the eventual supply of F-35 stealth fighters to India,” Donald Trump said at a joint press conference with Prime Minister Narendra Modi at the White House.

The announcement that the United States is prepared to sell F-35 stealth fighter jets to India marks a significant geopolitical and military shift in the Indo-Pacific region. If finalized, this deal would not only bolster India’s air power but also recalibrate the strategic balance among major players, including China and Pakistan.

The move is part of a broader deepening of U.S.-India defense ties, which have gained momentum over the past decade as Washington and New Delhi seek to counter China’s growing influence in Asia.

At the heart of this development is the growing alignment between U.S. and Indian interests. For years, the United States has been gradually lifting restrictions on high-end military technology transfers to India, designating it a Major Defense Partner.

The sale of F-35s—one of the most advanced fighter jets in the world—represents a culmination of that policy shift. Historically, the U.S. has only provided F-35s to its closest allies, such as NATO members, Israel, and Japan. Offering them to India signifies Washington’s strategic commitment to strengthening India’s military capabilities.

The F-35 Lightning II, developed by Lockheed Martin, is a fifth-generation stealth fighter designed to evade radar detection, conduct electronic warfare, and seamlessly integrate with networked battle management systems.

If India acquires the F-35, it would mark a technological leap for the Indian Air Force [IAF], significantly enhancing its air superiority and reconnaissance capabilities. India currently operates a mix of Russian, French, and domestically produced aircraft, including the Su-30MKI, Rafale, and Tejas. While these jets are formidable in their own right, none possess the stealth capabilities and advanced sensor fusion of the F-35.

However, this potential deal raises several critical questions. First, how would India integrate the F-35 into an air force largely built around Russian-origin aircraft? The IAF’s existing infrastructure is tailored to support Sukhoi and MiG fighters, meaning significant logistical and maintenance adjustments would be required.

Moreover, India’s ongoing procurement of Rafale jets from France and its development of indigenous fighter programs like the AMCA [Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft] complicate the decision. Would New Delhi be willing to overhaul its air combat strategy to accommodate an entirely new aircraft ecosystem?

Another issue is cost. The F-35 is one of the most expensive fighter jets in history, with a per-unit cost ranging from $80 million to over $100 million, depending on the variant and additional systems.

The total cost of ownership, including maintenance, pilot training, and spare parts, can be prohibitively high. Given India’s budget constraints and competing defense priorities—such as modernizing its navy and land forces—would it be financially feasible to pursue an F-35 fleet?

The geopolitical implications of the deal are just as profound. India has traditionally followed a policy of strategic autonomy, balancing its ties between the U.S., Russia, and other key players. Russia has been India’s primary arms supplier for decades, and any decision to procure F-35s could strain New Delhi’s relationship with Moscow.

Russia is already supplying India with the S-400 air defense system, a move that previously raised concerns in Washington and even led to threats of sanctions under the CAATSA [Countering America’s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act]. If India moves forward with the F-35 purchase, it may be forced to reconsider its reliance on Russian defense technology to avoid potential U.S. sanctions or interoperability challenges.

China and Pakistan will also be watching this development closely. Beijing, which has been aggressively modernizing its air force with the J-20 stealth fighter, will view India’s potential acquisition of F-35s as a direct challenge to its regional air dominance.

Pakistan, India’s long-time rival, relies heavily on Chinese and American aircraft, including F-16s. If India receives the F-35, Pakistan may seek to counterbalance with additional Chinese J-31 stealth fighters or deepen its military ties with Beijing.

Beyond immediate military concerns, this deal reflects the broader U.S.-India strategic partnership, particularly in countering China’s influence in the Indo-Pacific. The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue [Quad], comprising the U.S., India, Japan, and Australia, has been instrumental in pushing back against Beijing’s aggressive moves in the South China Sea and along the India-China border.

Providing India with F-35s aligns with Washington’s long-term goal of equipping regional allies with cutting-edge military technology to maintain stability in the region.

The prospect of the United States selling F-35 stealth fighters to India may be about more than just strengthening the Indian Air Force—it could also be part of a larger strategic effort to weaken India’s longstanding defense ties with Russia.

For decades, India has relied on Russian military hardware, with joint ventures such as the BrahMos missile program and previous collaborations on fighter jets cementing a deep-rooted defense relationship. However, the potential acquisition of F-35s signals a shift in priorities, one that could significantly impact Russia’s role as India’s primary arms supplier.

A key concern for Washington is the possibility of India acquiring Russia’s Su-57 fifth-generation fighterThe Su-57, though still in limited production, is Moscow’s answer to the F-35 and F-22, boasting advanced stealth features, supercruise capabilities, and a powerful weapons suite.

While India previously withdrew from the joint FGFA [Fifth Generation Fighter Aircraft] project with Russia, there remains interest in the Su-57, particularly as India seeks to modernize its air force. If India were to purchase the Su-57, it would not only reinforce its defense ties with Russia but also introduce interoperability challenges with Western aircraft.

By offering India the F-35, the U.S. may be attempting to preempt a potential Su-57 deal and steer India further away from Russian defense technology. The move aligns with Washington’s broader strategy of diminishing Russian influence in global arms markets, particularly at a time when Moscow faces economic strain due to sanctions and the ongoing war in Ukraine.

Reducing India’s dependence on Russian military hardware would also limit Russia’s leverage over New Delhi in geopolitical matters, such as India’s balancing act between Western powers and the Russia-China axis.

Ultimately, while the announcement of potential F-35 sales to India is a major development, the road to an actual deal remains complex. Key challenges—ranging from logistical hurdles and budget constraints to geopolitical ramifications—must be addressed before the sale can materialize.

If India does proceed with the purchase, it would mark a historic shift in its military doctrine and strategic alignments, solidifying its position as a top-tier global military power and deepening its ties with the United States in an increasingly volatile world order.

Bulgarian Military

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