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Damascus on the brink of collapse

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Damascus on the brink of collapse

Syrian President Bashar al-Assad is marshaling all available military forces and resources to fortify Damascus, his government’s final stronghold, as opposition forces make significant territorial gains. The battle for Syria’s capital appears to be escalating toward a critical juncture.

Reports from the ground indicate that opposition forces have seized control of Daraa and reached the city center of Homs, although the latter has yet to be fully captured.

Meanwhile, Assad’s regime has pulled back from key positions in Deir ez-Zor, Suwayd, and Mashara village in central Quneitra, leaving strategic areas vulnerable to opposition advances.

The Southern Operations Room of the Syrian opposition has announced ambitious plans to push toward Damascus. “Our target is Damascus, and our meeting point is Umayyad Square,” the group’s spokesperson declared in a recent statement. This unified opposition effort has already led to substantial territorial gains, particularly along Syria’s southern border with Jordan, where insurgent forces now control roughly half the frontier.

This surge from the south has exposed the Assad regime’s vulnerabilities. Local uprisings and insurgent activity have destabilized areas long considered under regime control. Rebel forces’ swift advances have reportedly faced little resistance, with regime-aligned police and isolated military outposts proving ineffective in halting the offensive.

Assad’s military strategy has centered on consolidating forces in Homs and Damascus, potentially at the expense of other regions. Analysts suggest that the regime’s focus on securing the capital and the strategically important city of Homs has created gaps in its defensive posture. These gaps have been exploited by opposition groups, who now threaten to encircle Damascus from three directions.

The current crisis extends beyond the northern rebels forces preparing to assault Homs. Insurgent groups in the south have capitalized on the regime’s preoccupation with northern threats, leading to coordinated uprisings and advances that have destabilized the southern front.

The strategic withdrawal from areas in Deir ez-Zor, Suwayd, and Quneitra underscores the regime’s struggle to maintain a cohesive defense. Assad’s decision to concentrate his forces around Damascus indicates the regime’s acknowledgment of the city’s symbolic and strategic importance. Should opposition forces succeed in reaching the capital, the conflict may enter a new and potentially decisive phase.

The coming days are likely to determine whether Assad’s forces can hold their ground or whether opposition groups will realize their stated objective of capturing Damascus. As the battle lines tighten, the region braces for further escalation.

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